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medium and long range weather outlook
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Medium and Long Range Outlook

Based on the latest output from various weather models, expert opinion and analysis by the Met Office, the medium and long weather forecast provides guidance on expected weather conditions across the United Kingdom.

The 15 and 30 day forecast below provides useful information on the possible conditions. However, science, as yet, does not allow specific detail on, for example, the number of nights of frost, days of rain or snow. Nor will it highlight when specifically within the period any severe weather may occur.

UK Outlook for Tuesday 10 May 2016 to Thursday 19 May 2016

Northern and central parts should be mainly dry with sunny spells through to next weekend, although isolated thundery showers may develop during the afternoons. Further south it is likely to be more unsettled with occasional outbreaks of rain which could be heavy and thundery at times. Sea fog may also form in the North Sea which could spread into eastern coastal districts at times, although this threat should diminish towards the weekend. Temperatures will be generally warm or very warm, but near normal at times in the wetter south. Over next weekend and through to the end of the period all parts are expected to become mainly dry with temperatures returning to near normal. However, more unsettled conditions could spread into the north-west later.

UK Outlook for Friday 20 May 2016 to Friday 3 Jun 2016

There is some uncertainty through this period but the most likely scenario is for mainly dry weather with sunny spells to persist in the south and east. More changeable weather is expected in the north and west with showers or longer spells of rain, interspersed by some drier and brighter conditions. Towards the end of May and into the start of June there are weak signals that the mainly dry and settled weather in the south will spread northwards into other parts of the country. Temperatures are likely to be near normal, though perhaps becoming warm later towards the southeast.

Issued at: 04.00 BST on Fri 06 May 2016

Contains public sector information licensed under the Open Government Licence

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