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medium and long range weather outlook
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Medium and Long Range Outlook

Based on the latest output from various weather models, expert opinion and analysis by the Met Office, the medium and long weather forecast provides guidance on expected weather conditions across the United Kingdom.

The 15 and 30 day forecast below provides useful information on the possible conditions. However, science, as yet, does not allow specific detail on, for example, the number of nights of frost, days of rain or snow. Nor will it highlight when specifically within the period any severe weather may occur.

UK Outlook for Saturday 28 May 2016 to Monday 6 Jun 2016

Many areas should see some fine, dry weather over the Bank Holiday weekend, especially the north-west, but with some scattered heavy thundery showers possible, more especially in the south. It should be rather warm generally, although eastern coasts may remain chilly. There is a risk of more persistent rain, stronger winds and cooler conditions affecting parts of the east and south later in the Holiday weekend and into early next week. From midweek onwards settled weather may become more widespread across the UK, with longer periods of dry and bright weather, but still with a risk of some showers or outbreaks of rain, possibly thundery, particularly in the south. Temperatures are then likely to be somewhat above average, particularly in the south and west, with a humid feel at times.

UK Outlook for Tuesday 7 Jun 2016 to Tuesday 21 Jun 2016

Currently it looks likely that generally settled conditions will continue through the first half of June, as high pressure remains close to the UK. This should bring a good deal of dry and sunny weather for most, particularly in the north-west, whilst some showery outbreaks, possibly thundery, are still possible in places. High pressure may break down later in the period, bringing more unsettled conditions, with rain or showers and perhaps some stronger winds. Temperatures are favoured to be just above average for most areas, especially in the south and west.

Issued at: 04.00 BST on Tue 24 May 2016

Contains public sector information licensed under the Open Government Licence

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