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medium and long range weather outlook
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Medium and Long Range Outlook

Based on the latest output from various weather models, expert opinion and analysis by the Met Office, the medium and long weather forecast provides guidance on expected weather conditions across the United Kingdom.

The 15 and 30 day forecast below provides useful information on the possible conditions. However, science, as yet, does not allow specific detail on, for example, the number of nights of frost, days of rain or snow. Nor will it highlight when specifically within the period any severe weather may occur.

UK Outlook for Wednesday 26 Oct 2016 to Friday 4 Nov 2016

Mostly dry across England and Wales during Wednesday with bright or sunny spells, once any early mist and fog has cleared. Meanwhile, rain will arrive into the north-west, which will slowly move south-eastwards, weakening all the time. It will be cloudier with patchy rain across the south on Thursday, becoming brighter in the north. Thereafter, high pressure looks to become established across the south of the UK, with a good deal of fine and dry weather around. Meanwhile, low pressure will be influencing the weather across the far north-west, where it will be wet and windy at times. Temperatures will probably be mostly above the average, but with some cold nights in the south, with frost and fog. Possibly turning colder as we go into early November.

UK Outlook for Saturday 5 Nov 2016 to Saturday 19 Nov 2016

There is a lot of uncertainty with regard to this part of the forecast. At first at least it looks likely that the weather will remain quite blocked, meaning that it will be slow to change and probably a stay a bit drier than normal. With this we are also less likely to see strong winds and the typical occasional stormy conditions that we usually see during the autumn. Given the time of year, and the predominance of a blocked pattern, temperatures may be on the cold side of normal. Later in November we may start to see more unsettled, changeable and sometimes windy weather again, but mainly in the north-west.

Issued at: 04.00 BST on Sat 22 Oct 2016

Contains public sector information licensed under the Open Government Licence

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