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medium and long range weather outlook
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Medium and Long Range Outlook

Based on the latest output from various weather models, expert opinion and analysis by the Met Office, the medium and long weather forecast provides guidance on expected weather conditions across the United Kingdom.

The 15 and 30 day forecast below provides useful information on the possible conditions. However, science, as yet, does not allow specific detail on, for example, the number of nights of frost, days of rain or snow. Nor will it highlight when specifically within the period any severe weather may occur.

UK Outlook for Friday 30 Sep 2016 to Sunday 9 Oct 2016

Cool with sunshine and showers on Friday and Saturday with strong wind perhaps giving gales in the north or north-west with the showers most frequent here. There is low confidence by early next week but an unsettled pattern is most likely to continue, with spells of rain mixed with brighter, drier but occasional showery interludes. The north-west should see the most of the wet weather, with a risk of gales at times. Drier in south-eastern parts, but some rain and breezy conditions are still possible. There is the slight chance that drier weather may spread to all parts for a few days from mid-week. Temperatures will vary but should average out to around normal for the time of year with some overnight frosts.

UK Outlook for Monday 10 Oct 2016 to Monday 24 Oct 2016

Low confidence for the weather details for the rest of October. Currently, it is most likely that the unsettled weather will continue. Rain and strong winds possible at times for much of the country, especially in the north, intermixed with quieter, drier spells perhaps lasting a few days particularly in the south. Temperatures around, or slightly below average, with an increasing chance of some chilly nights and local frosts, especially in the north.

Issued at: 04.00 BST on Mon 26 Sep 2016

Contains public sector information licensed under the Open Government Licence

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