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Medium and Long Range Weather Outlook

Latest thoughts of expected conditions in the next 30 days by the Met Office...

Based on the latest output from various weather models, expert opinion and analysis by the Chief Forecaster at the Met Office in Exeter, the medium and long weather forecast provides guidance on expected weather conditions over the next month across the United Kingdom.

The 15 and 30 day forecasts below provides useful information on the possible conditions. However, science, as yet, does not allow specific detail on, for example, the number of nights of frost, days of rain or snow. Nor will it highlight when specifically within the period any severe weather may occur.

UK Outlook for Saturday 26 Jul 2014 to Monday 4 Aug 2014
There is likely to be plenty of fine and dry weather across the north and east of the UK over the first weekend. Across the south and west further showers are expected, which potentially could be heavy and thundery, but these should ease by Sunday. It will remain warm or very warm for many across the UK and perhaps locally hot in places, although sea breezes could keep some coastal parts a little fresher. During the next week, long periods of settled weather are expected, bringing a lot of fine, dry and warm weather. Occasional rain may affect north-western parts with a low risk of isolated thundery showers in the south. Currently, the fine, largely dry and warm weather looks likely to persist until the end of the period.

UK Outlook for Tuesday 5 Aug 2014 to Tuesday 19 Aug 2014
The recent settled conditions are expected to persist into the first part of the outlook period, with mostly fine and dry weather continuing, particularly across more southern parts. The far north-west may be the exception with more in the way of cloud and sporadic outbreaks of rain affecting more Northern Ireland and western Scotland. Temperatures should remain above average for most, possibly turning locally hot for a time in the south. Towards the end of the period, a change back to more generally unsettled conditions is looking likely with a higher risk of showers, although there will also be some drier, brighter interludes.

Issued at: 0001Z on Tue 22 Jul 2014


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