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Medium and Long Range Weather Forecast

Based on the latest output from various weather models, expert opinion and analysis by the Chief Forecaster at the Met Office in Exeter, the medium and long weather forecast provides guidance on expected weather conditions over the next month across the United Kingdom.

The 30-day forecast below provides useful information on the possible conditions. However, science, as yet, does not allow specific detail on, for example, the number of nights of frost, days of rain or snow. Nor will it highlight when specifically within the period any severe weather may occur.

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UK Outlook for Friday 25 Apr 2014 to Sunday 4 May 2014
An unsettled end to next week with showers or longer spells of rain, heavy at times, although there will be some drier, brighter spells too, most likely in the north-west of the UK. Generally windy with a risk of gales in the southwest. Chilly in the rain and along windward coasts, however it will feel warm where it remains bright. The end of April is likely to remain changeable, especially for southern parts. Brighter periods too, these most lengthy in the north or north-west where it should be driest. Rather warm in brighter spells, though an easterly breeze will tend to keep northern and eastern areas cooler. This pattern of weather is expected to continue into May, but temperatures may decrease with some colder nights possible.

UK Outlook for Monday 5 May 2014 to Monday 19 May 2014
There remain no strong, discernible signals for any particular weather type to dominate through the first half of May. This leaves conditions more likely than not to be mixed with unsettled spells and showers or longer outbreaks of rain, interspersed with periods of largely fine and dry weather. By day, temperatures are likely to often be near average, though at this time of year this would still leave conditions feeling pleasant in sunshine when winds are light. Southern regions probably have the best chance of above average maxima, whilst some north-western parts may be slightly below average at times. Nights, meanwhile, may be chilly with a touch of frost possible.

Issued at: 03.00 on Mon 21 Apr 2014

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