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Medium and Long Range Weather Forecast

Based on the latest output from various weather models, expert opinion and analysis by the Chief Forecaster at the Met Office in Exeter, the medium and long weather forecast provides guidance on expected weather conditions over the next month across the United Kingdom.

The 30-day forecast below provides useful information on the possible conditions. However, science, as yet, does not allow specific detail on, for example, the number of nights of frost, days of rain or snow. Nor will it highlight when specifically within the period any severe weather may occur.

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UK Outlook for Sunday 27 Apr 2014 to Tuesday 6 May 2014
Remaining unsettled for most on Sunday and Monday, with showers or longer spells of rain, heavy at times, although there will be some drier, brighter spells too, most likely in the north-west of the UK. It will be breezy at times, particularly in the north-west. Chilly in the rain and along windward coasts, however it will feel warm where it remains bright. The rest of the week is likely to remain changeable, especially for the south and east of the UK at first, though some brighter periods are still likely. Temperatures are expected to gradually lower through the week, with an increasing risk of frost in the north. This unsettled pattern of weather is expected to continue into May, but with signs that temperatures will begin to trend upwards.


UK Outlook for Wednesday 7 May 2014 to Wednesday 21 May 2014
There remain no strong, discernible signals for any particular weather type to dominate through to the middle of May, although western parts look likely to remain most settled. Elsewhere, conditions are more likely than not to be mixed with unsettled spells and showers or longer outbreaks of rain, interspersed with periods of largely fine and dry weather. By day, temperatures are likely to often be near average, which at this time of year would leave conditions feeling pleasant in sunshine when winds are light. Southern regions probably have the best chance of above average maxima. Where more settled conditions persist, nights may still be chilly with a touch of frost possible.

Issued at: 04.00 on Wed 23 Apr 2014



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