Medium and Long Range Weather Outlook
Latest thoughts of expected conditions in the next 30 days by the Met Office...
Based on the latest output from various weather models, expert opinion and analysis by the Chief Forecaster at the Met Office in Exeter, the medium and long weather forecast provides guidance on expected weather conditions over the next month across the United Kingdom.
The 15 and 30 day forecasts below provides useful information on the possible conditions. However, science, as yet, does not allow specific detail on, for example, the number of nights of frost, days of rain or snow. Nor will it highlight when specifically within the period any severe weather may occur.
UK Outlook for Friday 1 Aug 2014 to Sunday 10 Aug 2014
Southern and eastern parts of the UK are likely to start largely dry and fine, although outbreaks of rain or showers in the west will spread to most parts through Friday. Over the weekend and into the following week, it is likely to remain unsettled across the UK with further outbreaks of showers and more prolonged rain affecting all areas at times. Rain is likely to turn occasionally heavy, particularly towards the middle of the week. Temperatures should be around normal for the time of year, and perhaps on the warm side in the south. There are indications that drier, sunnier periods may become more prevalent in southern, eastern and central areas later in the period as bouts of rain are likely to become more confined to the north-west.
UK Outlook for Monday 11 Aug 2014 to Monday 25 Aug 2014
With no particularly strong signals regarding weather patterns over the UK during mid-August, conditions are more likely than not to be close to climatology. As such most regions can expect to see periods of fine weather with some sunshine interspersed by occasional spells of more changeable conditions with showers or rain. Northern parts are perhaps most likely to see the most frequent bouts of unsettled weather leaving southern parts with the most prolonged fine spells. Daytime temperatures are then likely to often be above average during fine spells.
Issued at: 0200Z on Mon 28 Jul 2014
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